For , : (a) Compute for (half Kelly) numerically and compare with the small-bet approximation . (b) Give the bound on the probability of ever halving and compare with the continuous-time value . (c) Explain why simulations over a finite number of bets give a slightly smaller probability than the bound. (d) Prove that is a martingale for the Kelly bettor and that is a martingale for every fixed . Reconcile this with Proposition 3.3(b), which says the same ratio tends to 0 almost surely.
M03 · Problem 12 ★★★ Check
The Lundberg exponent at half Kelly
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