Markets: A Rigorous Course

M03 · Problem 5 ★★ Check

Continuous-time Kelly from a discrete step

(a) Over a short interval Δ\Delta, let the risky return be R=μΔ+σΔZR = \mu\Delta + \sigma\sqrt\Delta Z with Z∼N(0,1)Z \sim N(0,1), and let wealth change by 1+rΔ+f(R−rΔ)1 + r\Delta + f(R - r\Delta). Show that Eln⁡(1+rΔ+f(R−rΔ))=[r+f(μ−r)−12f2σ2]Δ+o(Δ)E\ln(1 + r\Delta + f(R - r\Delta)) = [r + f(\mu - r) - \frac12 f^2\sigma^2]\Delta + o(\Delta). (b) With μ=11%\mu = 11\%, r=6.5%r = 6.5\%, σ=20%\sigma = 20\% for the Nifty, a ₹20 lakh account and Nifty futures at 24,000 with lot size 65, how many lots does full Kelly prescribe? Half Kelly? Comment on lot granularity.

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