Markets: A Rigorous Course

M05 · Problem 13 ★★ Check

What R2R^2 does an intraday signal need?

(a) Prove (5.24) and show that a position proportional to the predictor, w=x/σxw = x/\sigma_x, earns E[wy]=ρσyE[wy] = \rho\sigma_y. (b) For a Nifty-futures signal predicting a half-hour return with σy=0.30%\sigma_y = 0.30\%, and an all-in round-trip cost of 8 bp, what correlation and what R2R^2 does the sign strategy need to break even?

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Commas, ₹, % and 1e-3 notation are accepted.

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