Markets: A Rigorous Course

M05 · Problem 7 ★★ Check

Estimating Kyle's lambda

Over 250 days, daily signed order flow ydy_d (buyer- minus seller-initiated volume) in a stock has standard deviation 2 lakh shares, and the sample covariance between the daily close-to-close price change and ydy_d is 3×1063\times10^6 ₹·shares. (a) Estimate λ\lambda by OLS and compute the implied impact of a 1 lakh-share imbalance. (b) In Kyle's model, why is the regression of vv (not pp) on yy the right check of λ\lambda, and what does each regression recover in the simulation of Exercise m05_kyle? (c) Give two reasons why the OLS slope from real daily data may be biased as an estimate of causal impact.

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Commas, ₹, % and 1e-3 notation are accepted.

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