Markets: A Rigorous Course

M09A · Problem 5 ★★ Check

The ATM straddle formula

(a) Prove (9A.7) and the expansion (9A.8), including the error term −σ2τ/24-\sigma^2\tau/24. (b) For F=24,500F=24{,}500, σ=13%\sigma=13\%, r=6%r=6\%, 7 days, compute the exact ATM-forward straddle and the approximation, and their relative difference. Compare with σ2τ/24\sigma^2\tau/24. (c) Compute the one-standard-deviation move and the expected absolute move in points, and the probability (normal model) that the index ends within ±\pm the straddle.

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Commas, ₹, % and 1e-3 notation are accepted.

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