(a) Explain why choosing the break date that maximises and then using the -value over-rejects. Relate this to the multiple-testing ideas of M04. (b) With and 15% trimming there are 141 candidate dates. Give the Bonferroni-corrected per-date level for a 5% family-wise test and explain why it is conservative. (c) The simulation in 13A.10.2 rejected 37% of the time at a nominal 5%. Design a simulation that would give the correct critical value for your own data, and state what it must hold fixed.
M13A · Problem 14 ★★★ Check
Data snooping in break tests
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