Markets: A Rigorous Course

M04A · Problem 4 ★★ Check

Expected time in a bracket

(a) Prove Eτ=ab/σ2\mathbb E\tau=ab/\sigma^2 for the driftless bracket, including the argument that Eτ<∞\mathbb E\tau<\infty. (b) A Nifty futures scalper uses a 200-point stop and a 200-point target with daily volatility 240 points. What is the expected holding time in trading days, and in hours of a 6.25-hour session (assume volatility is uniform through the session)? (c) What if the target is moved to 400 points?

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Commas, ₹, % and 1e-3 notation are accepted.

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