A trader reports a 40% win rate on trades with a 1R stop and a 2.5R target, where 1R is ₹40 per share on a stock with daily volatility ₹20. (a) Under the Brownian model, what win rate would a driftless stock give? (b) Find (in units of ) consistent with a 40% win rate, and hence the drift in rupees per day. (c) Compute the expectancy in R and the expected holding time, and verify Proposition 4A.9.
M04A · Problem 5 ★★ Check
What does a win rate imply?
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