Markets: A Rigorous Course

M13 · Problem 12 ★★ Check

Purged CV arithmetic

Ten years of daily data (N=2520N = 2520), labels are 10-day forward returns (t1=t0+10t_1 = t_0 + 10, clipped), 6-fold purged CV with a 1% embargo. (a) How many training samples does each fold have? Show the count for a middle fold. (b) What is the correlation between adjacent labels, and roughly how many independent labels are there? (c) With ordinary unpurged k-fold, how many training samples on each side of a middle test fold have label intervals overlapping the fold?

Answers

Commas, ₹, % and 1e-3 notation are accepted.

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