You regress monthly Nifty excess returns on the lagged earnings yield over months. The yield is AR(1) with ; , , (illustrative). OLS gives with standard error 0.45. (a) Compute and the approximate bias of . (b) Give the bias-adjusted estimate and its -statistic (keep the same standard error). (c) Why is the bias positive, and why does it matter more for valuation ratios than for, say, last month's return as a predictor?
M13 · Problem 7 ★★ Check
Stambaugh bias on an Indian valuation predictor
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