Illustrative Nifty GARCH(1,1): , , long-run volatility 16% a year (252 days). After a sell-off, is 30% annualised. (a) Find and the half-life. (b) Forecast the volatility (annualised) for day 10, and the average volatility over the next 21 trading days. (c) A 1-month Nifty option is trading at an implied volatility of 24%. Compare and give two reasons the two numbers can legitimately differ.
M13 · Problem 8 ★★ Check
GARCH term structure after a shock
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