9.11 A checklist before any option trade
Foundation about 5 min
- Which volatility are you trading: implied vs your forecast of realised, or implied now vs implied later?
- What is the position's dollar gamma, vega and theta per lot, and how do they change if spot moves 2% or one day passes? Recompute on expiry day.
- What exactly has to happen for it to make money (9.7)? Is the condition about , or about the path?
- What is the worst loss in a stress scenario (a 13% one-day Nifty fall happened on 23 Mar 2020) and what fraction of capital is that?
- What do costs (STT on premium, exchange charges, brokerage, GST, slippage) take from the expected edge?