Facts that change
Core about 5 min
| Fact | Value | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fed funds target range | 3.75–4.00% | 28 Oct 2026 (hiked 16 Sep 2026) | https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20261028a.htm ; FRED DFEDTARU |
| RBI repo / SDF / MSF / Bank Rate | 5.50 / 5.25 / 5.75 / 5.75% | 6 Nov 2026 (repo hiked 7 Oct 2026) | https://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx?prid=63742 (MPC resolution, 7 Oct 2026) |
| CRR / SLR | 3.00% / 18% | 6 Nov 2026 | https://www.rbi.org.in |
| RBI inflation target | 4%, band 2–6%, for Apr 2026–Mar 2031 | notified 25 Mar 2026 [S] | Business Today / ThePrint reports of the DEA gazette |
| US 10y yield | 4.90% | 4 Nov 2026 | FRED DGS10 (US Treasury par yield curve) |
| US 10y TIPS / breakeven | 2.64% / 2.32% (22 Oct); 2.64% / 2.26% (4 Nov) | Nov 2026 | FRED DFII10, T10YIE |
| India 10y G-sec | ~7.19–7.32% (bond-dependent) | 4 Nov 2026 [S] | ABSL/ICRA daily tracker; FBIL/CCIL publish the primary yields |
| US CPI / core CPI / core PCE | 3.7% / 2.6% (Sep) / 3.0% (Aug), 3.1% (Sep) | Oct 2026 releases | BLS and BEA, via FRED CPIAUCNS, CPILFENS, PCEPILFE |
| India CPI (2024 base) | 5.54% | Sep 2026, released 12 Oct 2026 | MoSPI via DD India |
| US output gap (CBO-based) | +1.70% | 2026Q3 | FRED GDPC1, GDPPOT |
| r* (HLW / LW) | 1.01% / 1.65% | 2026Q2, released Aug 2026 | https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/policy/rstar |
| DXY | ~101.5 (Fed nominal broad index 121.67 on 30 Oct) | 6 Nov 2026 | DXY: secondary quote (ICE); broad index: FRED DTWEXBGS |
| DXY weights | EUR 57.6, JPY 13.6, GBP 11.9, CAD 9.1, SEK 4.2, CHF 3.6 | current methodology (read Nov 2026) | ICE methodology PDF |
| USDINR | FBIL reference rate 94.3996 (market about 94.47) | 5 Nov 2026 | FBIL, as published on https://www.rbi.org.in |
| USDINR 2026 record | 96.82 (20 May 2026); previous record 91.03 (16 Dec 2025) | 2026 | Federal Reserve H.10 noon rates, FRED DEXINUS |
| India FX reserves | US$717.1 bn; record US$785.7 bn as on 4 Sep 2026 (one-week rise US$44.9 bn, FCA +US$47.5 bn) | 30 Oct 2026 | RBI WSS extracts: https://rbi.org.in/scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx?prid=63939 ; https://www.rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx?prid=63581 |
| FPI equity flow, Mar 2026 | record outflow ₹1.12–1.18 lakh cr (reports conflict) | Apr 2026 [S] | press reports citing NSDL |
| Nifty 50 | 24,536.6 | 5 Nov 2026 | https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/content/indices/ind_close_all_05112026.csv |
| Next MPC / FOMC decision | 2–4 Dec 2026 / 9 Dec 2026 | scheduled | RBI MPC resolution, 7 Oct 2026; Federal Reserve FOMC calendar (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm) |