Markets: A Rigorous Course

Summary of key results

Foundation about 10 min
Result Formula
Bond price P=∑kCFk(1+y/m)−mtkP=\sum_k CF_k(1+y/m)^{-mt_k} (11.2)
YTM uniqueness P(y)P(y) strictly decreasing and convex (Prop. 11.1)
Macaulay duration Dmac=∑tkPVk/PD_{\text{mac}}=\sum t_k PV_k/P (11.4)
Modified duration Dmod=−P′/P=Dmac/(1+y/m)D_{\text{mod}}=-P'/P=D_{\text{mac}}/(1+y/m) (Prop. 11.2)
Par bond Dmod=(1−(1+j)−N)/jD_{\text{mod}}=(1-(1+j)^{-N})/j periods (11.6)
Convexity C=P−1∑tk(tk+1/m)CFk(1+y/m)−mtk−2C=P^{-1}\sum t_k(t_k+1/m)CF_k(1+y/m)^{-mt_k-2} (11.8)
Price change ΔP/P≈−DmodΔy+12CΔy2\Delta P/P\approx -D_{\text{mod}}\Delta y+\tfrac12C\Delta y^2 (11.9)
Equity duration Dmodeq=1/(r−g)=P/D1D_{\text{mod}}^{eq}=1/(r-g)=P/D_1; Dmaceq=(1+r)/(r−g)D_{\text{mac}}^{eq}=(1+r)/(r-g) (11.11)
Fisher / breakeven (1+i)=(1+r)(1+πe)(1+i)=(1+r)(1+\pi^e); b=i−rTIPSb=i-r^{\text{TIPS}} (11.12–13)
Term premium yn=1n∑Ert+k+TPny_n=\frac1n\sum\mathbb E r_{t+k}+TP_n (11.14a)
Taylor rule i=r∗+π+0.5(π−π∗)+0.5xi=r^*+\pi+0.5(\pi-\pi^*)+0.5x (11.15); stable iff aπ>0a_\pi>0
CIP F=S(1+rdT)/(1+rfT)F=S(1+r_dT)/(1+r_fT); band [L,U][L,U] (11.17–18)
Fama regression Δst+1=a+b(ft−st)+ε\Delta s_{t+1}=a+b(f_t-s_t)+\varepsilon; b<0⇒Cov(p,q)<−Var(q)b<0\Rightarrow \text{Cov}(p,q)<-\text{Var}(q) (11.20–21)
Carry xr=(i−i∗)−Δsxr=(i-i^*)-\Delta s (11.22)
DXY geometric, EUR weight 57.6% (11.23)
USD return of FPI 1+R$=(1+R₹)S0/S11+R_{\$}=(1+R_{\text{₹}})S_0/S_1 (11.24)
Inflation and P/E P/D1=1/(ρ−gr+(1−λ)π)P/D_1=1/(\rho-g_r+(1-\lambda)\pi) (11.25)
Debt dynamics dt+1=dt(1+i)/(1+gn)−pbtd_{t+1}=d_t(1+i)/(1+g_n)-pb_t

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